linear extrapolation

04:32 Jan 3, 2013
This question was closed without grading. Reason: Answer found elsewhere

English to Chinese translations [PRO]
Tech/Engineering - IT (Information Technology) / digital trends
English term or phrase: linear extrapolation
I’ve long given up the habit of making New Years resolutions. What’s the point? The seeds of the next year are sown in the previous one. So rather than empty vows of change, all that effort can be put to better use by planning for what is to come.

To do so, we need to go beyond simple {linear extrapolation}. Principles like accelerating returns and hype cycles help point the way and we also need to keep in touch with the technologists and entrepreneurs that drive events.
clearwater
China
Local time: 22:03


Summary of answers provided
4线性外插
pkchan
3 -1数据预测
Wen-zhe (Clyde) Ye


Discussion entries: 3





  

Answers


43 mins   confidence: Answerer confidence 3/5Answerer confidence 3/5 peer agreement (net): -1
数据预测


Explanation:
统计学里的线性趋势外推法:最简单的外推法。在以时间为横坐标的坐标图中,事物的变化接近一条直线。根据这条直线,可以推断事物未来的变化。

accelerating returns 和 hype cycles好像是说投资方面的,这样的话就是新年IT行业的投资计划了。

这里的linear extrapolation应该是比较广义的,因为投资者的决定不可能仅仅依靠这种简单的外推法。作者借用这个术语来阐述应该不仅局限于简单的数据预测,而应该注重所列举的投资原则和信息渠道。

其它可用:
市场趋势、预测、分析
趋势预测、分析

不清楚events是指什么呢?

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Note added at 4 hrs (2013-01-03 09:30:46 GMT)
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线性外推必须是一条直线,也就是说把所有数据点放在一个坐标内,画一条直线来代表所有的数据点。比如某投资商品过去十年的价格,如果只用一条直线来预测未来走势,其准确度可想而知。因此我推断作者是用最简单易懂的linear extrapolation来代表数据预测这个概念。

Wen-zhe (Clyde) Ye
New Zealand
Local time: 02:03
Specializes in field
Native speaker of: Native in ChineseChinese, Native in EnglishEnglish
PRO pts in category: 92
Notes to answerer
Asker: 与“数据预测”无关。


Peer comments on this answer (and responses from the answerer)
disagree  patrick73b: Explanation中的“线性外推”是其本意,如果用数据预测就涵盖和下面的accelerating returns 和 hype cycles,他是说空洞的新年计划没有用,有意义的是对未来一年进行预测,而且不是简单的线性预测,要利用accelerating returns 和 hype cycles等手段,而这就要通过能够具有大手笔的技术专家和企业界强人。event就是业界的大事请,比如新产品的推出,新商业模式的推出等。
3 hrs
  -> 不赞同您的说法。预测(forecasting)仅限于统计数据。而accelerating returns 和 hype cycles是投资原则(principles),是新年计划的一部分但不是数据预测的一部分。作者的论点在于利用linear extrapolation以偏概全,强调数据分析以外因素的重要性。此外作者建议和技术人员、企业家保持联系(以获取信息)。谢谢对events见解的分享。
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13 hrs   confidence: Answerer confidence 4/5Answerer confidence 4/5
线性外插


Explanation:
或正如你所說∶直线外推/线性外推

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pkchan
United States
Local time: 10:03
Native speaker of: Native in ChineseChinese
PRO pts in category: 296
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