Strategy will need to become less clever and more Bayesian.

Chinese translation: 我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

02:05 Aug 25, 2013

English to Chinese translations [PRO]
Tech/Engineering - IT (Information Technology) / marketing

English term or phrase: Strategy will need to become less clever and more Bayesian.

The result is that marketing organizations will have to fundamentally change the way they work in an “N=All” world where speed trumps brilliance. {Strategy will need to become less clever and more Bayesian.} Instead of “plan and execute,” we will need to execute, evaluate and revise.

clearwater KudoZ activity Questions: 12458 (5 open) (1 without valid answers) (1079 closed without grading) Answers: 1671 China
Local time: 13:26

Chinese translation:我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

Explanation:
貝葉斯理論是指因應所知的資料調整對機率的預測, 所以有後句的 evaluate and revise。如果單純取其義的話可考慮改成「更有彈性」。

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Note added at 4 hrs (2013-08-25 06:31:33 GMT)
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看錯, less clever 的話建議用「減少依賴小聰明」

Selected response from:

Lincoln Hui
Hong Kong
Local time: 13:26

Grading comment

谢谢！
3 KudoZ points were awarded for this answer

Summary of answers provided

4 +1

我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

Lincoln Hui

我们的策略不需要经过深思熟虑，而需要更加贝叶斯化。

Yan Yuliang

Discussion entries: 4

Answers

1 hr confidence:

peer agreement (net): +1

strategy will need to become less clever and more bayesian.

我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

Lincoln Hui
Hong Kong
Local time: 13:26
Works in field
Native speaker of:

Chinese,

English
PRO pts in category: 381

Grading comment

谢谢！

23 hrs confidence:

strategy will need to become less clever and more bayesian. 我们的策略不需要经过深思熟虑，而需要更加贝叶斯化。

Explanation:
贝叶斯决策就是在不完全情报下，对部分未知的状态用主观概率估计，然后用贝叶斯公式对发生概率进行修正，最后再利用期望值和修正概率做出最优决策。

加上前一句，speed trumps brilliance，因此这里的意思是：我们制定策略的时候，不需要想太多，而是要根据贝叶斯理论，对策略进行不断调整（通过”执行-评估-修订“这个闭环），最终得到最优决策。

也就是说，刚开始的策略可以是没怎么认真考虑的。但最终的决策，可以达到最优。

Reference: http://zhidao.baidu.com/question/573002540.html

Yan Yuliang
Local time: 13:26
Specializes in field
Native speaker of:

Chinese
PRO pts in category: 24

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Strategy will need to become less clever and more Bayesian.

Chinese translation: 我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

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Strategy will need to become less clever and more Bayesian.

Chinese translation: 我們的策略需要變得更加機敏, 更加貝葉斯化。

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